Normative future visioning for city resilience and development

This paper argues for normative visioning as an underdeveloped component of adaptation planning. Multi-stakeholder and approaches to future offer generative moments when creativity can meet the power act required critical, including transformative, adaptation. Including methods with community city actors in planning allows alternative narratives development arise a basis deeper conversation potential action on root causes vulnerability risk. A specific approach is tested four megacities – Istanbul, Kathmandu, Nairobi Quito. Relations between current states resilience are found be both aligned (congruent or contingent) opposition (countervailing constrained) shaping strategy policy setting. These data combined additional work from London, Kolkata, New York Lagos pilot City Resilience Challenge Index (CRCI), indicating policy-makers whether how cities currently moving away from, rather than towards, envisioned trajectories reduction In future, CRCI might provide global tool track progress towards climate resilient and, by doing so, increase ambition galvanize action.